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Probatio Africa

Our approach

We start from your decision, not from a methods list. Four questions decide how we approach a study, before we ever propose a method, and every stage after that is checked by someone other than the person who did the work.

Four questions we ask before we propose a method

These come before the sample size, the instrument, or the technique. If we cannot answer them, we say so, rather than proposing a study anyway.

1

What decision needs this evidence, and by when?

A study with no decision behind it is research for its own sake. We ask what will actually change once you have the answer, and whether our timeline can meet your deadline.

2

What would a good answer need to prove, and what would change your mind?

If no result could change the decision, the study is not worth running. We ask this before we ask what method to use.

3

Who has already answered part of this?

We check the published evidence before proposing new fieldwork. Where the answer already exists, we say so instead of billing you to find it again.

4

What could this study not tell you, even if it goes perfectly?

Every method has a limit. We state it before you commit, not in a footnote after you have paid for the report.

How a study runs, once we start

Four stages, the same ones described in full on our About page: design, collect, analyse, translate. Each stage ends with a sign-off by someone other than the person who did the work.

01

Design

02

Collect

03

Analyse

04

Translate

What holds every stage to the same standard

“Show your working” is not a slogan on this site. It is a specific, named check on every kind of study we run, and each one lives on the page for that service.

A written protocol before fieldwork

Design

A counterfactual stated, or its absence admitted

Evaluation

A search strategy fixed before results come in

Evidence synthesis

A second person screens, codes or reviews before a finding is reported

Qualitative research, Evidence synthesis

Back-checks on a sample of interviews

Surveys and measurement, Monitoring and verification

A certainty or confidence rating on every headline figure

Surveys and measurement, Evidence synthesis

The assumptions behind a number written out in the report itself

Economics and financing

A fix-first list, not only a diagnosis

Data systems and M&E

A stated rule against taking a position on the policy itself

Policy and systems analysis

Where this way of working comes from

It is not unique to us. IDinsight, a research firm founded in 2011 that works across Africa and Asia, states its approach rests on rigour tempered by cost-effectiveness, and says plainly: if a client's funds could be better used another way, it says so, even when that means less work for itself. We hold ourselves to the same discipline: a method we cannot properly deliver, or a study that would not answer your real question, is a study we will say no to.

Ready to test this against a real decision?

Tell us what you need to decide. We will apply these four questions to it and say, honestly, whether a study is the right next step.